Surely means certainly, or is used to show you expect agreement. Surely not, surely you agree, slowly but surely.
As a sentence adverb it is an appeal rather than a statement: surely he knew signals that the speaker thinks it obvious and is checking. In American use it can mean certainly outright. Slowly but surely means steadily and reliably. Note sure; and that the word came from the French for safe, from Latin securus.
1adverbsurelyUsed to show you expect agreement.
“Surely you're not going out in this rain without a coat?”
2adverbcertainlyCertainly and reliably.
“If you keep ignoring the leak, the damage will surely get worse.”
Too few real examples of this word to estimate which sense is commonest.
surely is a marker of confidence.
Sure plus -ly, from Old French seur, from Latin securus, safe. Secure comes from the same safety.
Middle English
surely
English, today
surely
From Middle English surely; equivalent to sure + -ly.
Etymology from Wiktionary, CC BY-SA